Epping Unleaded Drops Nearly 4 Cents While NSW Diesel Surges 51 Cents and Victoria Quietly Becomes the Cheapest State to Fill Up
This week's fuel price data reveals something that deserves closer scrutiny. While most of the country is fixated on diesel prices, a quieter story is unfolding across Victoria that motorists should pay attention to. Unleaded petrol in Melbourne's outer suburbs is trending downward, and the numbers are worth investigating.
Let me start with the headline that caught my eye. Epping unleaded has dropped 3.7 cents per litre to 218.5 cents. That might not sound dramatic, but in a market where prices have been stubbornly high for weeks, any sustained downward movement is notable. Digging deeper into the numbers, this isn't an isolated case. Cranbourne is showing similar movement, with Premium 95 falling 3.7 cents to 233.5 cents and Premium 98 dropping 3.4 cents to 242.5 cents. Officer has followed the same pattern, with Premium 98 down 2.8 cents and Premium 95 down 2.3 cents.
A closer look reveals that this isn't random discounting. Multiple suburbs across Melbourne's south east corridor are moving together, which suggests genuine wholesale cost reductions being passed through to motorists. Shepparton, more than two hours north of Melbourne, is also seeing Premium 98 drop 3.2 cents to 241.4 cents. When regional towns move in lockstep with metro suburbs, that tells me the underlying wholesale price has shifted rather than individual servos running short term promotions.
The diesel contrast raises questions
Here is where the story gets interesting. While Victorian petrol prices are easing, diesel across the country is telling a completely different story. New South Wales diesel has surged a staggering 51.6 cents per litre overnight, jumping from 273.9 to 325.5 cents on average across more than 1,000 stations. That is an 18.8 per cent increase in a single day.
The variation between states is striking. Victoria has the cheapest average diesel in the country at 319.1 cents, with a spread of just 31.2 cents between the cheapest and most expensive servos. Compare that to NSW where the spread is a massive 132.1 cents, with some stations still charging 242.9 cents while others demand 375 cents for the same fuel.
This raises some interesting questions about why Victorian diesel remains so competitive. Servos in Clayton are offering diesel from 309.9 cents, Deer Park stations are clustered tightly around 315 cents with barely a dollar between them, and Epping diesel sits at 315.9 to 316.9 cents. The consistency is remarkable compared to the chaos in other states.
Where the real savings are hiding
For Victorian motorists filling up with unleaded this weekend, the outer suburbs remain the place to look. The south east corridor from Cranbourne through to Officer is showing the strongest downward pressure. Dandenong South diesel starts from 315.9 cents, and Braeside is sitting at a similar level. If you are a diesel driver, Bairnsdale in regional Victoria is offering 309.9 cents, which is among the cheapest anywhere in Australia right now.
The ACT also deserves a mention. With an average diesel price of 317.3 cents and a spread of just 17 cents across the entire territory, Canberra drivers have the most predictable pricing in the country. Fyshwick has diesel from 307.9 cents, which is competitive with the best Victorian prices.
What motorists should know
The broader picture reveals a market moving in two different directions. Petrol prices in Victoria are softening, particularly for unleaded and premium blends in the outer suburbs. Meanwhile, diesel has spiked dramatically in NSW and remains elevated nationally. Western Australia diesel averages 327.1 cents but with a 131 cent spread, and South Australia sits at 322 cents with a 45 cent spread.
For the average Victorian motorist filling up with unleaded, the message is clear. Shop around in the outer suburbs, particularly Epping and the south east corridor, where genuine price competition is driving costs down. The 3 to 4 cent drops might seem modest, but on a 60 litre tank that is more than two dollars saved, and these movements tend to build on each other as servos compete for customers.
Motorists should be aware that the diesel situation across the country is volatile. If you are planning any long distance driving over the Easter school holidays, fill up your diesel vehicle in Victoria or the ACT where prices are lowest and spreads are tightest. Avoid filling up in regional NSW or outback Western Australia where you could pay 50 to 130 cents more per litre for the same fuel.
Armed with this information, drivers can make informed decisions rather than paying whatever their nearest servo happens to charge.